French intelligence services are considering autumn 2027 as a possible timeframe for major Russian attacks, earlier than a previous assessment that pointed to 2030, France Televisions reported on Saturday.
A confidential note cited by the broadcaster reportedly says the timeline for a potential large-scale Russian attack has been brought forward. Possible targets could include strategic infrastructure such as power plants, electricity grids, railways, telecommunications networks and drinking water facilities.
Potential threats to critical infrastructure
Alain Christienne, a former deputy director of French military intelligence, said a hypothetical attack could involve an explosive-carrying drone targeting a French defence industry facility.
He warned that it could be difficult to establish Russia’s responsibility for such an incident, adding that France currently does not have the capacity to fully protect against that type of scenario.
Macron discusses hybrid threats
The report came after French President Emmanuel Macron held a confidential meeting on Friday with presidential candidates and political party leaders to discuss what he described as an intensifying Russian hybrid threat against France and Europe.
Macron said the government would prepare a plan to protect critical infrastructure and sensitive sites linked to the country’s defence industrial and technological base from drone and cyberattacks.
The French government has also asked prefects to set up security and defence teams bringing together local police, intelligence services, the military, education authorities, businesses and emergency services.