OMM Redaksiyası
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Sen. Flavio Bolsonaro are statistically tied ahead of the Oct. 25 presidential runoff, according to polls released Tuesday by “PoderData/Aya” and “BTG/Nexus”.
The “PoderData/Aya” survey put Bolsonaro, of the Liberal Party (PL), at 51% of valid votes, compared with 49% for Lula, of the Workers’ Party (PT). The “BTG/Nexus” poll gave Bolsonaro 52% and Lula 48%.
Both results are within the respective margins of error, indicating a technical tie.
The “PoderData/Aya” poll showed a narrower gap than its Oct. 8 survey, when Bolsonaro led Lula by 53% to 47%. The latest figures represent a two-percentage-point gain for Lula and a corresponding drop for Bolsonaro.
In voting intentions, “PoderData/Aya” recorded 48% for Bolsonaro and 46% for Lula, while “BTG/Nexus” put them at 48% and 45%, respectively. The remaining respondents were undecided, declined to answer or said they would cast blank or null ballots.
“PoderData/Aya” interviewed 3,000 voters by telephone from Oct. 10 to 12, with a margin of error of 1.8 percentage points. “BTG/Nexus” surveyed 2,002 people aged 16 and older over the same period, with a margin of error of two percentage points.
The “BTG/Nexus” survey was commissioned by financial institution “BTG Pactual”. Both polls were registered with Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court.
In the first round on Oct. 4, Bolsonaro received 47.03% of valid votes, while Lula secured 45.16%, according to the results. Brazilians will choose their next president in the Oct. 25 runoff.
