Afət Ziyadqızı
A geomagnetic storm is forecast to occur between April 7 and 13.
The Operative Information Center-OMM reports that the Shamakhi Astrophysical Observatory named after Nasiraddin Tusi has released a detailed outlook on solar activity for the coming week. According to the observatory, the probability of a C-class solar flare during this period is 95%, while the likelihood of M-class (R1-R2) and X-class (R3) flares stands at 40% and 10%, respectively.
Scientific data suggests that electron flux with energy exceeding 2 MeV will remain at high levels, with a potential increase in proton flux (>10 MeV) to the S1 level. While solar wind speeds are currently elevated due to the influence of negative polarity Coronal Hole High Speed Streams, they are expected to return to nominal levels between April 7 and 9. The probability of observing auroras is estimated at 15-25% in high geomagnetic latitudes and 1-15% in middle latitudes.
Geomagnetic storms are temporary disturbances of the Earth's magnetosphere caused by solar wind shocks and clouds of magnetic fields that interact with the Earth's magnetic field. The Shamakhi Astrophysical Observatory, a key scientific institution in Azerbaijan, regularly monitors these phenomena to provide early warnings. Such solar events can impact satellite operations, radio communications, and power grids, though the current forecast suggests a range of intensities from minor to moderate.
