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Global carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels are projected to decline by 0.4% in 2026, partly due to energy market disruptions caused by the Iran conflict and the expansion of clean energy, according to the Global Carbon Project’s annual report, Anadolu Agency reported.
Oil-related emissions are expected to fall by 1.9% this year. Natural gas emissions are projected to decrease by 0.3%, while coal emissions are forecast to rise by 0.6%.
Fossil fuel emissions are also expected to decline in major economies: by 1.5% in the European Union, 1.3% in the United States and 0.9% in China. In India, emissions are projected to increase by 4.4%.
The report says solar and wind power, along with electric vehicles, are expected to meet around two-thirds of the increase in global energy demand.
Researchers cautioned that the projected fall in fossil fuel emissions does not indicate a lasting reversal in their use.
“A decline in fossil CO2 emissions is encouraging, but a reduction driven partly by geopolitical shocks is not a sustainable climate solution,” said Pierre Friedlingstein, who led the study.
