Military operations by the United States and Israel against Iran could trigger a severe political crisis in Europe, according to Douglas Macgregor, a former advisor to the Pentagon.
Operative Information Center-OMM reports that Macgregor emphasized the potential for catastrophic global consequences resulting from heightened military tensions. He noted that Tehran has openly declared its capability to destroy the majority of facilities on the western coast of the Persian Gulf, a move that would severely disrupt international energy markets.
The expert highlighted that disruptions in oil and gas transportation are already impacting Western European nations, particularly those that have prioritized a transition to green energy. Macgregor warned that the depletion of energy and raw material supplies—including essential components for fertilizer production imported from the Persian Gulf—could lead to significant political upheaval and the potential collapse of several European governments in the near future. He specifically pointed to the United Kingdom, suggesting that jet fuel and gas reserves could be exhausted within a matter of weeks.
The Persian Gulf remains one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints, with a significant portion of the global petroleum and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Any prolonged instability in this region historically leads to sharp increases in global inflation and energy costs, which can place immense pressure on the domestic stability of importing nations. This geopolitical volatility underscores the fragile balance between international security and global economic continuity.